#Can BTC Return to 100k?#

Fundamental analysis and prospects of BTC 📊
In addition to the technical analysis of BTC/USDT, let's break down the fundamental factors that could influence Bitcoin's movement towards the coveted mark of 100k. 🚀
🔶1. Institutional adoption
➕Positive factor: Institutional investors continue to enter the market. In 2024, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the USA attracted billions of dollars. According to statistical data, in the first quarter of 2025, the inflow into crypto funds amounted to about $15 billion, signaling growing confidence from major players.
📈Outlook: Increased investments from hedge funds and corporations create a sustainable demand that could push the price to 100k.
🔶2. Macroeconomic Situation
🔝Inflation and interest rates: Inflation in the US remains above the Fed's target level of (2%), and interest rates, despite a decrease at the end of 2024, are still high at around 4.5% as of April 2025(. Bitcoin is often seen as "digital gold" — a hedge against inflation, which supports investor interest.
🌏Geopolitics: Global tensions ), such as sanctions and tariff rates (, are increasing interest in decentralized assets. BTC, as a store of value, attracts capital from regions with unstable economies.
🔝Outlook: If the Fed continues to ease policy and geopolitical risks intensify, the demand for Bitcoin may increase, pushing the price to 100k.
🔶3. Halving and supply shortage
⛏️Halving 2024: After the halving in April 2024, the block reward decreased to 3.125 BTC. Historically, halving leads to price increases due to the reduction in new supply. According to data, the daily issuance of BTC is currently around 450 coins, which intensifies the scarcity.
🌐On-chain data: The share of bitcoins that have not been moved for over a year has reached 70%. This indicates that long-term holders )HODLers( are accumulating rather than selling.
🔝Outlook: Limited supply against growing demand is a powerful growth driver. If the current trend continues, 100k looks like a quite achievable goal.
🔶4. Regulation
🌎USA and Europe: In 2025, regulatory clarity in the USA improved — the SEC classified BTC as a commodity, simplifying the operations of crypto exchanges. In the EU, MiCA )Markets in Crypto-Assets( came into effect, creating unified rules for the crypto market.
⚠️Risks: Some countries, such as China, continue to tighten control over cryptocurrencies, which may create local sales.
🔝Outlook: Positive regulation in major economies supports institutional interest, which could act as a catalyst for growth to 100k. However, new bans in certain regions may trigger short-term corrections.
🔶5. Technological Factors
🌐Lightning Network: The scalability of the Bitcoin network is improved by the Lightning Network. According to 1ML, the number of nodes in the network has grown to 18,000, and the transaction volume exceeded $1 billion in 2025. This makes BTC more practical for everyday payments.
🌐Taproot and improvements: The activation of Taproot in 2021 continues to bear fruit, enhancing the privacy and efficiency of transactions.
🔝Perspective: The increasing utility of Bitcoin attracts new users, which may strengthen demand and push the price to 100k.
🔶Cool withdrawals
⚡Bullish driver: Institutional interest, supply shortage after halving, and improved regulation create a strong foundation for growth. If macroeconomic conditions like ) rate cuts and inflation( are favorable, 100k is a realistic target in 2025.
⚠️Risks: Increased regulation in certain countries and potential slowdown in capital inflow due to a global recession may hinder growth.
✅Conclusion: Fundamental factors indicate a high likelihood of reaching 100k in the coming months, especially if institutional demand continues to grow and the Bitcoin network becomes even more scalable.
📝What do you think about the fundamental prospects of BTC? Share in the comments! 🚀